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Historic spread shift smacks valuations after German government falls apart. Market at 'most critical moment in 20 years'
German political instability push Bunds yields up, reducing prospects of a covered bond revival
Investors likely to shun covered bonds for similarly priced — but better treated — SSA deals
Wider swap spreads provide French covered bonds a buffer against competing SSA levels
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◆ Bund-swap spread hits single digits ◆ Tight levels put pressure on Pfandbrief spreads ◆ Further 'expensive' covered supply unlikely -
◆ Low redemptions led to lower supply in 2024 ◆ Canadian banks could return to refi ◆ Dollar supply to more than double in 2025
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Abnormal trend expected to continue posing question for FIG treasury officials
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Investors would rather buy SSAs than covereds, say bankers
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Market participants are invited to give their views on the outlook for covered bonds next year
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November issuance not a given, with focus turning towards January instead
