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US election 2016

  • On the eve of the US election covered bond bankers considered what the election outcome might mean for their market. A clear victory for the Republican nominee, Donald Trump, would be likely to spur risk aversion which could ultimately improve demand for safer assets such as covered bonds from strong core European issuers.
  • A volley of investment grade corporate bond issuers is set to hit the euro market at pace after the smoke clears following the US presidential elections on Tuesday.
  • Equity capital markets are bracing for the US presidential election on Tuesday. Participants believe Hillary Clinton is narrowly more likely to win, but that stockmarkets around the world would fall if Donald Trump won.
  • SSA
    A victory for Hillary Clinton in Tuesday’s US presidential election — made more likely by the Federal Bureau of Investigation saying over the weekend that it found no evidence of criminality in a batch of her emails it had investigated — would likely see a return to “business as usual” for public sector bond markets and a US rate rise in December, said market participants on Monday.
  • Emerging market assets were buoyed by a turn in sentiment over the weekend as the Federal Bureau of Investigation's second probe into Hilary Clinton's emails was dropped. However, buying was limited as investors adopted a cautious stance ahead of the election and .
  • FIG
    FIG borrowers’ last clear window for issuance hangs in the balance ahead of Tuesday’s US elections, as bankers fear a victory for Donald Trump would limit November supply and raise new issue premiums considerably.
  • SSA
    Who will win the US presidential election on November 8 was far from clear this week. But it looks increasingly likely that a Donald Trump win could bring 2016's primary capital markets activity to an abrupt halt.
  • The US stock market and the dollar have been falling since last week, as fears have grown that Donald Trump might win the US presidency in Tuesday's election.
  • Both investment grade and high yield corporate issuers pumped out primary paper at a vigorous pace this week, as they bore out volatility to get ahead of the November 8 US elections.
  • A shift of momentum in the US presidential race has sent tremors through derivatives markets this week, with equity implied volatility ramping up, credit index spreads widening and the Mexican peso slumping against the dollar.
  • SSA
    An inconclusive result would be far and away the worst possible outcome of next week’s US presidential election, said a head of funding at a European agency, with any repeat of the legal wrangles that followed the 2000 vote likely to fuel market volatility.
  • The EMEA loans market has been so far unruffled by next week’s US presidential elections — even if in the US itself deal flow has paused and the consequences of the vote could be far reaching, according to several loans bankers.