Bond markets were subdued this week, with market participants awaiting the results of the US FOMC, Bank of England and European Central Bank meetings. No changes to interest rates were announced, but both the Fed and the ECB announced a move towards a tightening bias. ECB president Wim Duisenberg said that he would need more evidence of a pick up in European inflationary pressures before tightening monetary policy. His comments, coming after a week of higher than expected European price and output figures, suggest that the market's bearish trend ahead of these data was overdone. After falling through the week, government, swap and credit markets stabilised on the news of no rate hike. But the Euromarkets remain bearish and although many borrowers are still looking to raise funds ahead of the year end, the opportunities are fading. With the US Fed likely to increase interest rates at its meeting next month, the likelihood of heavy supply before the end of the year is diminished further. Primary traders this week said they wanted to avoid having bonds on their books come November. In a quiet week, Crédit Foncier de France grabbed the limelight with its Eu1.5bn long 10 year obligations foncières deal, opening the new market for French style Pfandbriefe. Crédit Local de France's Dexia Municipal Agency should launch a five or 10 year deal next week totalling Eu2bn to Eu4bn. Caja Madrid launched what was arguably the most successful of the mortgage bonds to have emerged from Spain in the last month. Launched at 7bp over Euribor, the Eu1bn 10 year cédulas hipotecarias tightened by 2bp. Corporates generally gave the difficult market a wide berth, but after careful preparations unrated Preussag went ahead with its Eu750m seven year issue. Priced at 89bp over the Bund, the deal quickly sold out as investors, predominantly in Germany, bought into the company's turnaround story. In the dollar sector, GECC sought to build an institutional investor base by launching a three-pronged increase to existing retail deals. Paribas was behind the strategy, which created three bonds of over $1bn - although some bankers questioned why GECC had not chosen to launch a new, jumbo bond instead. The IADB also launched a tap to an existing issue, in the yen sector, to create a ¥150bn bond which quickly traded through JGBs as investors in Europe and Asia sought scarce yen product. Morgan Stanley and TMI were bookrunners on the increase. Vodafone should launch a Eu1.5bn seven year fixed rate deal next week via Barclays Capital. A level of around Euribor plus 35bp equivalent is anticipated for the A2/A rated issuer. Northern Rock is planning to launch a Eu300 to Eu500m floater via lead managers HSBC and Lehman Brothers. The issue is being roadshowed in Europe this week and will have a three or five year maturity. Aguas de Barcelona, rated Aa3/AA-, has appointed Deutsche as books and Invercaixa joint lead for its debut Eurobond. The Eu500m 10 year issue will be roadshowed in Europe this month. Landesbank Rheinland-Pfalz has mandated Dresdner, Salomon and WestLB for a Eu1.5bn global Pfandbrief in the five year area. And Renault Credit International has mandated BNP for a three year euro floater. The cupboard of new issues in the dollar sector is relatively bare, with Freddie Mac having a clear run for its $4bn of three year reference notes next week. The US agency wants to increase European investor participation in its quarterly bullet bonds, and has appointed two European lead managers to run the deal - ABN Amro and Warburg Dillon Read. They will be joined as bookrunner by a sole US representative, Morgan Stanley. A new Japanese government guaranteed issuer, JBIC - the successor to Jexim - is said to be looking to launch an inaugural deal. A $1bn 10 year Eurodollar issue could emerge as a result. And Ford is taking soundings on a multi-billion dollar 10 year GlobLS issue.
October 08, 1999