OeKB
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The European Bank for Reconstruction and Development smashed its newly minted size record in sterling with its sophomore effort using the Sonia benchmark. -
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It was another sparkling week in dollars for public sector borrowers, with Asian Development Bank the pick of the bunch as it brought the tightest deal of the year so far versus Libor and US Treasuries. More supply is expected for next week, although some SSA bankers feel the market could do with a “breather”.
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Oesterreichische Kontrollbank’s decision to mix up this week’s dollar supply with a three year benchmark reaped rewards on Thursday, as it recorded one of its largest ever allocations to central banks and one of its tightest ever US Treasury spreads. But some SSA bankers believe the dollar market might need a “breather” after a rampant start to the year.
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The public sector dollar market on Wednesday showed that it had more than enough depth to cope with a pair of issuers bringing deals in the same maturity with just a basis point of difference in initial price thoughts, as both trades came in size and at tightened pricing. Another agency is set to dip into the demand on Thursday.
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The European Bank for Reconstruction and Development on Wednesday became the third public sector borrower to issue an inaugural Sonia-linked bond in 2019, with the deal marking the borrower’s largest sterling bond to date.
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SSA euro issuance outstripped dollars this year, thanks to strong conditions in the first half and the vagaries of the basis swap. But the end of eurozone quantitative easing and political strife made it a trickier place later in 2018 — and those elements are unlikely to disappear in 2019.
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The dollar SSA market at the end of 2018 was in stark contrast to euros, despite the latter outstripping it in volume over the year. Even uncertainty over the Federal Reserve’s rate path in 2019 seems unlikely to shake the fortitude of the currency as a funding source for SSAs. But finding windows could become trickier as the Fed pulls liquidity amid global trade wars and rising populism.
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This week's funding scorecard looks at the progress of Europe's supranationals and agencies as the year comes to a close. Some of the issuers have also set their funding targets for 2019.
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KfW’s €5bn November 2023 was the standout performer in a week of trades — from Erste Abwicklungsanstalt, Oesterreichische Kontrollbank and Swedish Export Credit Corp — that BondMarker voters rated highly.
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A quartet of public sector borrowers brought small dollar deals this week that were fine but unspectacular, which SSA bankers said was down to a confluence of factors. There are hopes that with the market likely quiet next week for the US mid-term elections and Federal Open Market Committee meeting, conditions could return to their best for the albeit limited funding windows left in 2018.
