NordLB
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◆ Hamburg prices with 1bp of NIP ◆ Länder orderbooks growing ◆ More deals to follow -
◆ Backlog of German issuers looking to print ◆ State set to print while reforms put to vote ◆ Lower Saxony covers deal well
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◆ Deal highlights Länder spread journey ◆ No price tightening ◆ Priced off KfW with minimal NIP
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◆ Rates and geopolitical volatility weigh on investor sentiment ◆ Fast money investors show price sensitivity ◆ Low single digit premium paid
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◆ Not covered but not uncommon ◆ Prices around 2bp through fixed rate curve ◆ More German state supply expected
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German issuer's own comparable tenor deals disregarded in favour of more recent peer supply
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◆ Prices 15bp through peer ◆ Fair value not easy to calculate ◆ IFB Hamburg prints too
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◆ Bond priced flat to fair value ◆ 'Pros and cons' for tightening ◆ No-grow tactic deployed
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◆ Book halves after tightening ◆ Bond prices at fair value ◆ Tightening by 1bp could 'kill a trade for the German states right now'
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◆ Danish lender prints €750m for the first time ◆ Backed by its largest real money participation, the deal achieves Jyske's largest book
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◆ 'Good outcome' for German states ◆ Spread to KfW tighter for longer maturities ◆ Prices tighter than 10 year deals from peers
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◆ Record book for the German state ◆ Länder-KfW spread now much healthier ◆ Strong bid for German assets at current levels
