Nomura
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Market tipped to be a marathon, not a sprint, as Aareal Bank becomes fourth issuer of 2026 and fixed rate tranches take root
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◆ German bank fixed spread and size at outset ◆ Issuer not 'closely followed in UK' ◆ Niche sterling issuer meant 'no clear reference for FV'
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◆ Issuer tightens spread by 8bp ◆ Deal prices outside comps ◆ Lack of Japanese covered bond law affects demand, says banker
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This year’s expected surge in IPOs and M&A deals should drive a proliferation of strategic equity derivative transactions, with $2bn of fees up for grabs
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Investors are thirsty for yield and willing to sacrifice spread
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◆ Large deal kickstarts FY 2025-26’s linker programme ◆ Shorter maturity caters to investor demand ◆ ‘Consistent, business-as-usual approach’ celebrated by markets
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◆ Japanese bank returns to euro market after many years ◆ Global asset managers reducing US dollar exposure ◆ Euro issuers facing increased competition
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◆ €1.7bn deal gets 2025 funding past the line ◆ Seven year print and 18 year social tap ◆ Bankers say market gives 'good results' and more supply inbound
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◆ Issuer becomes second tier one in HK dollars ◆ 'Definitely' demand for labelled bonds in Hong Kong ◆ Sterling helps differentiate from crowd
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◆ NIB, IADB, CEB price bonds ◆ Busy week drains liquidity from market ◆ Treasury spreads at 'historic' tights