KfW
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US President Donald Trump’s first speech to Congress, a remarkable switch in Federal Reserve rate expectations and swap spreads falling from their early week highs all failed to derail a stellar week for public sector dollar issuance. More trades are expected to come next week, before the market quiets ahead of the Fed’s next rate decision and a Dutch general election where the far-right Party for Freedom (PVV) is expected to perform well.
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Market participants have grown used to US president Donald Trump’s ability to shift markets and induce volatility with only 140 characters, but Tuesday’s address to Congress appears to have been digested without spoiling the mood in SSAs.
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KfW and the European Bank for Reconstruction and Development took full advantage of a strong environment to sell dollar benchmarks on Tuesday. Further dollar issuance is rumoured this week — with conditions so good that deals may come despite potential volatility from US president Donald Trump making his first speech to Congress during the New York evening on Tuesday night.
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The public sector dollar market is showing a few signs of life this week as KfW and the European Bank for Reconstruction and Development picked banks for benchmarks, while the Bank of England launched its annual foray in the currency.
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The scores are in. See how market participants rated KfW's €5bn 10 year, Alberta's sterling debut and EAA's $1bn two year.
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After a tumultuous week of blowouts and recoveries in European government bond spreads, this week is looking more settled and healthy. However, the feverish pace of issuance has also abated.
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KfW sold its second euro benchmark of the year on Tuesday, scoring €5bn at the difficult 10 year area of the curve in what a banker away from the trade called “a positive sign for the market”.
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KfW announced on Monday that it would sell a 10 year euro benchmark on Tuesday. But the breakneck pace of public sector issuance since the start of the year is expected to slacken this week.
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SSA bankers are gearing themselves up for another round of dollar supply next week after the currency’s record breaking January. Buoyant conditions even allowed one issuer to bring a bulky benchmark, despite this week’s public holidays in Asia.
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This week's funding scorecard looks at the progress European supranationals and agencies have made during the first three weeks of the year.
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KfW has invested more money in Frontclear, an organisation which offers guarantees to help clear emerging market and frontier market trades, boosting access to international interbank markets.