Italian Sovereign
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Italy picked the banks to lead its debut green bond on Tuesday after unveiling its sovereign green framework to investors last week. -
Italy published its much anticipated green bond framework on Thursday, ahead of a debut green BTP later in 2021.
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There were flashbacks to last month’s Spanish syndication in the bond market this week as Italy made an emphatic start to the Draghi era in the BTP market. The borrower shed billions of orders on Tuesday after aggressively pricing its first syndication since the appointment of the ex-ECB chief as the country’s prime minister. Burhan Khadbai reports.
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Italy hit the market with a dual tranche on Tuesday, raising €4bn with a 30 year linker and €10bn with a new 10 year BTP. A sharp move in pricing on the 10 year leg meant it lost €45bn of orders, but SSA bankers on and off the deal said the trade was still a good result.
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Italy came to the market for its first syndication since a seismic rally in the sovereign’s bonds after Mario Draghi agreed to form a new government earlier this month. But despite the huge confidence from investors in BTPs, a compression of 4bp from initial price thoughts for a new 10 year led to a dramatic loss of over €45bn orders.
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Italy hit screens on Monday to announce a dual-tranche syndicated deal comprising a new 10 year benchmark and 30 year inflation-linked bond.
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Italian prime minister-designate Mario Draghi must walk a knife-edge if he is to form a government and present a national recovery and resilience plan. If he takes too hard a line the mill of Italian politics will chew him up and spit him out. If he is too quick to compromise, the EU’s life as a giant bond issuer may be shorter than hoped.
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Relief swept through secondary bond markets when Mario Draghi agreed to form a new government to steer Italy through the pandemic. But he must tread a narrow and treacherous path if he is to succeed and primary capital markets are to feel any lasting benefits. As Lewis McLellan and Tyler Davies report, next week will show whether Thursday’s burst of optimism was justified.
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If he can form a government that holds the demons of Italian politics at bay long enough to drag his country through the coronavirus pandemic, then Mario Draghi will have earned his laurels. But in Rome, glory has always been fleeting.
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The possibility that former ECB chief Mario Draghi may become the next Italian prime minister has caused excitement among bond market participants and a sharp rally in risky assets.
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The European Central Bank meeting on January 21 did not strike a pleasing note for investors in eurozone government bonds, and spreads are still wider. But primary market participants seem unconcerned.
