German Sovereign
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The State of North Rhine-Westphalia showed that the euro long end is open for core SSAs despite wider market volatility on Thursday, but there was a more testing time for Greece in secondary. -
A jump in US Treasury yields following a higher than expected US inflation print could boost long end dollar supply from SSAs said bankers, although investors might be keen for concerns over inflation to die down first. Meanwhile, issuers have been focusing on short dated arbitrage style trades with benchmark issuance limited this week — and likely next week — due to the Chinese New Year holidays.
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The State of North Rhine-Westphalia on Thursday brought the first 20 year euro benchmark of the year from a core eurozone issuer, for which leads said the “stars aligned”. A sell-off in rates, core SSAs stability in the face of wider market volatility and a healthy spread over OATs all helped the deal, they said.
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Investor expectations for the number of US Federal Reserve target rate rises this year grew on Wednesday after inflation figures for the country came in higher than most analysts’ expectations. The shift came on the same day that Rentenbank doubled its minimum size on a dollar syndication.
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The Council of Europe Development Bank (CEB) is planning to bring its second ever social inclusion bond in the spring, and has outlined to GlobalCapital the expected currency and tenor. The State of North Rhine-Westphalia also looks set to bring an SRI bond, after mandating banks on Wednesday for a roadshow.
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Public sector borrowers this week set new landmarks in what has already been an exemplary year in dollars, as KfW sold the largest 10 year dollar benchmark in 2.5 years and the Nordic Investment Bank priced the tightest deal versus swaps of 2018 so far. SSA bankers are confident that conditions will hold at both ends of the curve — allowing the possibility of further long end supply and even lower short end spreads.
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KfW on Wednesday posted a clear sign that the path to 10 year dollars is wide open for public sector borrowers, printing a $3bn global that was the largest trade in the tenor for 2.5 years. That left SSA bankers rubbing their hands and speculating over which borrower might come next.
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Public sector borrowers wrapped up a trio of short end dollar trades on Tuesday, with the tightest issuer able to grind in pricing to the lowest level from an SSA this year and the higher yielding names finding ample demand despite ending up at similar spreads. SSA bankers are confident that the strong conditions will also ring true at the long end for KfW, which has mandated for its first 10 year dollar benchmark in nearly three years.
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There have been high levels of issuance in the long end of the Aussie dollar curve this week, with a trade from KfW on Wednesday taking advantage of an increase in demand.
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