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Recent Länder trades shed some light on primary market for covered bonds
Supply could quickly resume if conditions stabilise
Trading activity and primary performance show covered bond robustness
The gap is closing thanks to covered undersupply but there will be a floor as relative value starts to make little sense
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Market participants are invited to give their views on the outlook for covered bonds next year -
November issuance not a given, with focus turning towards January instead
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Wide SSA spreads and stale secondary levels are pushing out covered spreads and NIPs
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Stale secondary curves send average new issue premiums wider
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Issuers said to have this week 'withdrawn' planned covered bond sales will look at later window
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At least one issuer considers 10 year but spread dynamics could be off-putting
