Cyprus
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John Hourican is a master of understatement. When he was appointed CEO of Bank of Cyprus in 2013, he was quoted as saying that rebuilding the island’s largest bank, and regaining the confidence of its depositors and investors, represented a “significantly interesting challenge”. In this interview with GlobalCapital’s Phil Moore, Hourican assesses how far he has come in meeting that challenge.
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Cyprus might have the sun and the sea, but its share of the global tourist market has stagnated at about 2.5m visitors a year, while worldwide the total number of tourists has skyrocketed. Meanwhile, Brexit has cast a shadow. But rather than kicking back on the lounger, the government is implementing a 10 year strategic plan, focusing on quality rather than quantity.
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By 2013, Cypriot banks had assets of €126bn, almost seven times GDP. Small wonder that when the bubble burst, the impact was spectacular. But the recovery has been equally impressive, due in no small part to the quick and decisive action taken through capital controls and recapitalisations. However, whether that recovery can be maintained remains to be seen, as the mountain of impaired debts continues to weigh heavily.
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With the stock exchange and the country’s banking sector regaining strength, the real economy is beginning to feel the benefit. This is crucial, as capital being readily available to SMEs is fundamental to accelerating economic revival in Cyprus.
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As far as sovereign bond issuance goes, Cyprus has been one of the great eurozone success stories of the last few years, winning back its previous broad base of stable government bond investors. A return to investment grade would complete the hard journey back to recovery.
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The economic recovery in Cyprus that has gathered pace since the depths of the 2013-14 recession has taken even local bankers by surprise. However, there is no shortage of formidable challenges that the island needs to overcome if it is to build on the successes that have been chalked up since the crisis and deliver long term, sustainable growth.
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Harris Georgiades was appointed finance minister of Cyprus in April 2013, and has played a pivotal role in steering Cyprus out of its banking crisis and helping to kickstart the recovery of the economy. In this interview with GlobalCapital’s Phil Moore, Georgiades reflects on what Cyprus has achieved over the last three years, and on the challenges and opportunities that lie ahead.
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A striking manifestation of Cyprus’s rapid economic rehabilitation since its crisis in 2013 has been its return to the international capital market. Since 2014, the republic has issued four international benchmark bonds, improving pricing and gaining wider and higher quality distribution on each occasion.
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European Central Bank president Mario Draghi has in effect told market participants to come back after summer if they want to see any further monetary stimulus — but belief that such stimulus is on the way helped a trio of euro deals this week.
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The immediate post-Brexit result landscape looked like a daunting one for eurozone periphery issuers. But just under a month later, one could argue they have never had it so good.
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Spain drew nearly €30bn of orders for a new €6bn 10 year benchmark on Tuesday, as Cyprus tightened pricing by 20bp on a seven year deal.
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Songa Offshore, the Norwegian oil drilling company that is going through a distressed debt restructuring, completed on Thursday its raising of new money with a convertible bond, getting the maximum size of $125m.